Author

Date of Award

2013

Publisher

North Dakota State University

Document Type

Master's Paper

Degree Awarded

Master of Science (MS)

Program

Statistics

Department

Statistics

College

Science and Mathematics

Faculty Advisor

Shen, Gang

Description

This paper presents a new bracketing method for all 63 games in the NCAA Division 1 basketball tournament. This method, based on the logistic conditional probability models, is self-consistent in terms of constructing winning probabilities of each game. Empirical results show that this method outperforms the ordinal logistic regression and expectation method with restriction(Restricted OLRE model) proposed by West (2006).

Rights

NDSU Policy 190.6.2

Rights Link

https://www.ndsu.edu/fileadmin/policy/190.pdf

Handle Identifier

https://hdl.handle.net/10365/23055

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