Date of Award

2019

Publisher

North Dakota State University

Document Type

Thesis

Degree Awarded

Master of Science (MS)

Program

Food Safety

Department

Food Safety

College

Interdisciplinary Studies

Faculty Advisor

Nganje, William

Description

Food safety related problems are one of the biggest challenges worldwide. DON is produced by Fusarium species which causes the well-known Fusarium Head Blight (FHB) of wheat and barley. FHB outbreaks have led to variability in yield and revenue losses over the years. The main objective of my thesis was to quantify risk premiums at the farm level and with industry impact, to determine the effectiveness of FHB/DON mitigation strategies over time from 1997 to 2014. Data on revenue losses ($million) were obtained from USDA-ERS and was simulated using a risk analysis software called @RISK 7.5. The sample data was simulated 10,000 times to obtain a population. Risk premiums were calculated for each year and for each crop over time and graphs were plotted. Trends in risk premiums showed an overall decrease from 1997 to 2014, indicating that variability of losses have reduced and that the management practices have been effective.

Rights

NDSU policy 190.6.2

Rights Link

https://www.ndsu.edu/fileadmin/policy/190.pdf

Handle Identifier

https://hdl.handle.net/10365/31629

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